grungy-gonads 54 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Spot on, no doubt! Link to post Share on other sites
Go Native 70 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 I'm just looking forward to the next ice age he predicted last year was almost upon us. Bring it on!!! Link to post Share on other sites
snowdude 44 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Actually for Hokkaido yes I was spot on winter started end of November, but I was expecting the air stream to have gone further down, so Honshu is later getting cold because of that. Unfortunately I cant control where the air stream decides to go, so I was out for Honshu! I still expect a very cold and very snowy winter ahead, once it gets started in the next few days. And yes I still say the ice age is coming very soon. In just over a year we will be at solar max, and the sunspot count is much lower than it should be at this stage of cycle 23, in fact recent days it has been dropping off quite rapidly, but it should still be increasing. Cycle 24 looks like it will start much less active then it should be as things are at present! The next ice age will be with us soon, very soon! Link to post Share on other sites
Alexander L 80 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 How much for central Hokkaido Snowdude? Link to post Share on other sites
rider69 18 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 SJ I dont think you are pulling any photos down. Winter is coming in what looks like a very big way. By this time next week it should be full on winter. My friend in Aus who like to predict these things said this storm looks big and sustained. Satuday should be fun but Wednesday seems to be the day. Link to post Share on other sites
Go Native 70 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Actually for Hokkaido yes I was spot on winter started end of November, but I was expecting the air stream to have gone further down, so Honshu is later getting cold because of that. Unfortunately I cant control where the air stream decides to go, so I was out for Honshu! I still expect a very cold and very snowy winter ahead, once it gets started in the next few days. And yes I still say the ice age is coming very soon. In just over a year we will be at solar max, and the sunspot count is much lower than it should be at this stage of cycle 23, in fact recent days it has been dropping off quite rapidly, but it should still be increasing. Cycle 24 looks like it will start much less active then it should be as things are at present! The next ice age will be with us soon, very soon! Gee winter starting in late Nov in Hokkaido!!!! How do you do it snowdude??? That is such a rare event that it takes a visionary forecaster to get that right As I said can't wait for that next ice age. I'm sure you'll be just as right about that as you are with most of your forecasts Link to post Share on other sites
Tubby Beaver 209 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 SJ I dont think you are pulling any photos down. Winter is coming in what looks like a very big way. By this time next week it should be full on winter. My friend in Aus who like to predict these things said this storm looks big and sustained. Satuday should be fun but Wednesday seems to be the day. your not just buttering me up are ye??!! I plan on hitting SOMEWHERE either wednesday or thursday......Snowdude, I hope you are right.....I could do with a little ice age action! Link to post Share on other sites
SnowJapan Admin SnowJapan 178 Posted December 14, 2011 SnowJapan Admin Share Posted December 14, 2011 SJ I dont think you are pulling any photos down. Then stop implying that kind of thing please. I don't particularly care if you upload photos or not, just don't make flimsy excuses for your reasons as if it's 'our fault'. Link to post Share on other sites
sanjo 2 Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Considering that next Wednesday is 21st December, it's hardly too soon is it. Link to post Share on other sites
muikabochi 208 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 But hardly unexpected either really. Hopefully skiing at or just before Christmas. Link to post Share on other sites
gnarly-dude 1 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 most people from Hakuba are scared awwwww More like, what a bunch of big girly wusses! Link to post Share on other sites
gnarly-dude 1 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Are we there yet? Link to post Share on other sites
Chriselle 158 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Snowdude.....got a time frame on that.. "very soon" ice age? Link to post Share on other sites
SKI 15 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 "Very soon" is like one of those adjustable tripod legs. You can extend it quite a lot, depending on what is convenient for your purposes. Link to post Share on other sites
Go Native 70 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 It is worth noting that many of the natural forcings on climate are currently lining up on the cooling side. Things like the sun as snowdude points out and others like a number of periodical oscilations in climate cycles like ENSO, PDO and NAO. All are currently in what would be considered a cool phase. There is definitely a chance temps may cool a bit or at least not warm as much for the next decade or so. We'll have to wait and see. Most of the climate models are predicting relatively little or certainly reduced warming up until around 2030 when it is expected to really take off again. None though are predicting major falls in temps into ice age territory. Link to post Share on other sites
muikabochi 208 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Well, just come back from Yuzawa. Not snowing yet, it's just raining. Hopefully something overnight. Link to post Share on other sites
Go Native 70 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Kutchan gone up almost 20cm in snowdepth so far today. Link to post Share on other sites
grungy-gonads 54 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Link to post Share on other sites
NoFakie 45 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 2030! Just when I'm retired and I get the cheapo granddad season pass!! The future ain't what it used to be Link to post Share on other sites
snowdude 44 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Saw on the news just now some parts of Niigata could get as much as 50cm of snow by tomorrow evening! Link to post Share on other sites
joshnii 2 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Something tells me that is way over optimistic. Link to post Share on other sites
joshnii 2 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Hope it works out that way though! Link to post Share on other sites
panhead_pete 27 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Kutchan gone up almost 20cm in snowdepth so far today. AWESOME stoked for you guys up there. Link to post Share on other sites
muikabochi 208 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Puts on majime hat. I agree. Here the local forecast has Yuzawa mountains getting a maximum of up to 15cm, Tokamachi and Minamiuonuma areas a max of 5cm with Myoko mountains the most at up to 30cm before 9am tomorrow morning. The local forecasts are not giving mention to anything more than the above. As it is, still raining. Lets see how that tv report ends up shall we and compare this time tomorrow evening. Link to post Share on other sites
grungy-gonads 54 Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 Fingers crossed Link to post Share on other sites
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