How does El Nino affect Japan again?

[7-11 2]

Can someone remind me?

 

Was just reading a bit on the guardian about El Nino, which says there's 90% chance of this year being an El Nino year.

 

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/jun/11/-sp-el-nino-weather-2014

[Go Native 70]

From the research I've done on it generally most of Japan can expect warmer temps and slightly lower snowfall during an El Nino event. Hokkaido though is less effected and in fact the northern parts of Hokkaido usually have slightly lower temps than usual. This is for the winter period obviously. Summers are generally cooler across most of Japan during El Nino events.

 

The following shows the effect on precipitation during Dec-Feb. Southern Japan generally has much lower precipitation whereas central and northern areas are not overly affected.

 

 

The following shows the effect on temperature during Dec-Feb. Most of Honshu generally experiences positive anomalies whilst far northern areas of Hokkaido are slightly cooler.

 

 

It will all depend on the strength of the event and when it peaks.

[snowdude 44]

Well the guardian would say 90%.

Not sure where they got that from ad I havent seen or read that figure any where else.

From what I gather it is about 50-50 percent chance of a strong El Nino later this year maybe starting to develop around late summer/early autumn onwards.

But dont know yet.

 

[Go Native 70]

NOAA recently released this The chance of El Niño is 70% during the Northern Hemisphere summer and reaches 80% during the fall and winter.

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.html

 

That was an early June forecast. This may have recently been updated and may well be up at 90% now. It's not just the Guardian reporting the 90% figure.

[grungy-gonads 54]

Why 'would the Guardian say 90%'?

[Go Native 70]

Because it's a leftist pinko publication that supports the global warming conspiracy of course!

[frannyo 2]

Is the Guardian that "left" these days?

[Go Native 70]

Well for some anything that is not as extreme right as Murdoch publications is extreme left.

[BagOfCrisps 24]

It's certainly nothing like far left.

 

The guardian website has become one of the most heavily used news sites in the world, apparently. I use it a lot. I'm not a lefty.

[2pints-mate 0]

Does that mean the Daily Mail will tell us the chances are 10% or thereabouts?

[MagSeven 40]

Yep, and blame it on the immigrants.

 

And it'll affect house prices.

[2pints-mate 0]

[Tubby Beaver 209]

bloody immigrants!!

[surfarthur 22]

bloody immigrants!!

They should all be censed and apologise issue! (starting with you, Tubby)

[Tubby Beaver 209]

I'm writing to the Daily Mail.....I bet you're an immigrant Surfarthur, probably stole someones job and brought down their property value

[pie-eater 207]

surfarthur

 

Obviously you have been affected by this

 

http://www.snowjapan...-deteriorating/

 

They should all be is censed and apologise issue!

 

There, I've corrected for you.

 

[surfarthur 22]

I'm writing to the Daily Mail.....I bet you're an immigrant Surfarthur, probably stole someones job and brought down their property value

 

Completely true, every word of it.

[surfarthur 22]

I better go get censed and apologise issue i suppose...

[Tubby Beaver 209]

Less talking more censing and apologising issue

[69 5]

I reckon El Nino probably means something like the following for Japan:

 

- Most Consistent Powder in the World © in Niseko

- Bottomless Hakuba ©

 

In conclusion, Book Now!

 

[muikabochi 208]

It's not The Guardian's "opinion" is it, it's reporting a report that has been reported elsewhere as well.

The Guardian bit is surely irrelevant.

[Go Native 70]

Not if you're a climate science denier muika. For the deniers papers like The Guardian that don't outright attempt to deny and slander the science are part of the leftist pinko, greeny global hoax that's being played on us all. I'm not for a moment suggesting that that's rational but people who deny the science of climate change aren't usually all that rational.

[mina2 6]

From the research I've done on it generally most of Japan can expect warmer temps and slightly lower snowfall during an El Nino event.

 

Fingers crossed there's no El Nino event.

 

We need more snow next season, not less!

[snowdude 44]

Well with the weather patterns changing and the earth now going into a cooling cycle, some areas that usually get a lot of snow can end up getting less and areas that usually get less can end up getting more.

This last winter in Japan was a good example of that and is going to happen more and more often, although not every year of course. And the mad snow that we got and other areas got will become a more regular thing.

[Go Native 70]

Well with the weather patterns changing and the earth now going into a cooling cycle