Confused forecasters

[Yes-please. 0]

I just read an interesting article in an overseas magazine.

 

The question:

--So what does "a 90% chance of rain" really mean?

 

The answer, from an expert forecaster:

There is no simple answer. It means that out of every 100 such forecasts, rain will actually fall on about 90 of them. He adds however that the figure also indicates the degree of confidence the Met Office has in it's forecast, with 90% indicating pretty confident. To make it more fun, the guy recommends treating such weather forecasts as you would traffic lights. Probabilities over 70% are "red", between 50-70% are amber and anything below 50% is green so no need for the umbrella.

 

Oh, ok then.

 

[veronica 2]

haha, scientists.